{"id":3418,"date":"2025-06-02T08:18:40","date_gmt":"2025-06-02T05:18:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/fti.dp.ua\/conf\/?p=3418"},"modified":"2025-06-02T08:18:42","modified_gmt":"2025-06-02T05:18:42","slug":"cims-306","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fti.dp.ua\/conf\/2025\/cims-306\/","title":{"rendered":"Open-source analysis of the potential configuration and kinetic performance of the Oreshnik ballistic missile"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Open-source analysis of the potential configuration and kinetic performance of the Oreshnik ballistic missile<\/h1>\n\n\n\n
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Mykola Bondarenko<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h5>\n\n\n\n

ORCID https:\/\/orcid.org\/0009-0008-8421-8408<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Oles Honchar Dnipro National University<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n

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Volodymyr Habrinets<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h5>\n\n\n\n

ORCID: https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-6115-7162<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Oles Honchar Dnipro National University<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n

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Mykhailo Vorobei<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h5>\n\n\n\n

ORCID: https:\/\/orcid.org\/0009-0009-9173-8564<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Oles Honchar Dnipro National University<\/em><\/em><\/p>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n

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Purpose.<\/strong>\u00a0This article presents an analysis of the tactical and technical characteristics of the Oreshnik medium-range ballistic missile, which, according to open-source data, was employed in a precision strike against an infrastructure facility in Dnipro in November 2024. The study focuses on the missile\u2019s configuration, warhead type, and aerodynamic behavior using open-source information.\u00a0Design \/ Method \/ Approach.<\/strong>\u00a0An interdisciplinary methodology was applied, comprising Sentinel-2 satellite imagery analysis, kinetic-energy and aerodynamic-heating modeling, and comparative assessment against the Russian Avangard, Rubezh, and UR-100N UTTKh platforms. Missile debris and factory markings were used to reconstruct manufacturing chronology and identify design features.\u00a0Findings.<\/strong>\u00a0It was determined that Oreshnik is equipped with a hypersonic non-explosive kinetic warhead capable of destructive impact via high-velocity collision. The missile likely follows a suborbital trajectory, achieving speeds of 11\u201312 km\/s and surface temperatures in excess of 4300 K. Markings indicate key components were manufactured in 2017, suggesting reuse of legacy platforms.\u00a0Theoretical Implications.<\/strong>\u00a0This work advances the theory of kinetic-impact systems by elucidating thermal-loading mechanisms and energy-transfer processes in hypersonic vehicles, thereby bridging contemporary implementations with the historical \u201cRods from God\u201d concept.\u00a0Practical Implications.<\/strong>\u00a0The findings reveal limited strike effectiveness owing to high costs and moderate destructive yield, yet underscore the system\u2019s value as a demonstrator technology and its utility for hypersonic-system testing.\u00a0Originality \/ Value.<\/strong>\u00a0This study constitutes the first technical analysis of an Oreshnik missile strike based exclusively on open-source data, illustrating the growing role of civilian satellite imagery and interdisciplinary modeling in arms-monitoring.\u00a0Research Limitations \/ Future Research.<\/strong>\u00a0The analysis relies solely on open-source information. Future work should include detailed damage assessment, thermal-protection analysis, and expanded trajectory modeling with advanced software tools. Enhanced monitoring of high-velocity conventional weapons is recommended to support arms-control and humanitarian-law frameworks.\u00a0Article Type.<\/strong>\u00a0Applied research.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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ACCESS ARTICLE<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n
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CIMS 2025 The Awakening of Nature<\/a><\/div>\n\n
Aerospace vehicles<\/a><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n
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Open-source analysis of the potential configuration and kinetic performance of the Oreshnik ballistic missile Mykola Bondarenko ORCID https:\/\/orcid.org\/0009-0008-8421-8408 Oles Honchar Dnipro National University Volodymyr Habrinets ORCID: https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-6115-7162 Oles Honchar Dnipro National University Mykhailo Vorobei ORCID: https:\/\/orcid.org\/0009-0009-9173-8564 Oles Honchar Dnipro National University Purpose.\u00a0This article presents an analysis of the tactical and technical characteristics of the Oreshnik medium-range ballistic missile, which, according to open-source data, was employed in a precision strike against an infrastructure facility in Dnipro in November 2024. The study … <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[15],"tags":[39],"class_list":["post-3418","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-aerospace","tag-cims-2025-the-awakening-of-nature"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/fti.dp.ua\/conf\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3418","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/fti.dp.ua\/conf\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/fti.dp.ua\/conf\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fti.dp.ua\/conf\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fti.dp.ua\/conf\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3418"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/fti.dp.ua\/conf\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3418\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3419,"href":"https:\/\/fti.dp.ua\/conf\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3418\/revisions\/3419"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/fti.dp.ua\/conf\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3418"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fti.dp.ua\/conf\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3418"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fti.dp.ua\/conf\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3418"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}