{"id":3446,"date":"2025-06-03T09:33:59","date_gmt":"2025-06-03T06:33:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/fti.dp.ua\/conf\/?p=3446"},"modified":"2025-09-23T09:40:43","modified_gmt":"2025-09-23T06:40:43","slug":"cims-288","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fti.dp.ua\/conf\/2025\/cims-288\/","title":{"rendered":"Economic growth of countries in the context of military operations"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Economic growth of countries in the context of military operations<\/h1>\n\n\n\n
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Olexandr Shapurov<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h5>\n\n\n\n

ORCID: https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-4381-4886<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Zaporizhzhya National University<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n

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Oleksii Hrechanyi<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h5>\n\n\n\n

ORCID: https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-0524-4998<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Zaporizhzhya National University<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n

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Volodymyr Stoiev<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h5>\n\n\n\n

ORCID: https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-4933-2992<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Zaporizhzhya National University<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n

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Anatolii Karpelianskyi<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h5>\n\n\n\n

ORCID: https:\/\/orcid.org\/0009-0001-4185-5131<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Zaporizhzhya National University<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n

<\/div>\n\n\n\n
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Alina Sosnovska<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h5>\n\n\n\n

ORCID: https:\/\/orcid.org\/0009-0008-6038-3564<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Zaporizhzhya National University<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n

<\/div>\n\n\n\n

Purpose.\u00a0<\/strong>The purpose of the study is to assess the economic growth of Ukraine, Syria, and Palestine under wartime conditions, compare growth models (Solow, MRW, Romer, and a machine learning model), identify recovery factors, and develop recommendations for 2030.\u00a0Design \/ Method \/ Approach.<\/strong>\u00a0The study employs a comparative analysis of growth models, modified by a conflict intensity indicator, based on panel data from 1990\u20132023 (World Bank, UNESCO, IndexMundi). Random Forest, accounting for nonlinear relationships among variables (investments, education, R&D, international aid), was used for forecasting. Forecasts cover three scenarios for 2025\u20132030. Findings.<\/strong>\u00a0The Romer model is the most accurate for Ukraine, projecting a GDP per capita of $13,456 (optimistic scenario, 2030). For Syria and Palestine, projections are $1,183 and $3,012, respectively. Random Forest predicts $23,792 for Ukraine, $6,819 for Syria, and $5,764 for Palestine. Key factors include international aid (29.8%), investments (24.6%), and conflict reduction (19.7%).\u00a0Theoretical Implications.<\/strong>\u00a0The study adapts growth models to wartime conditions, highlighting the advantages of endogenous models and machine learning for analyzing complex economies. Practical Implications.<\/strong>\u00a0The findings contribute to developing recovery strategies, allocating international aid, and planning sustainable development in conflict-affected countries.\u00a0Originality \/ Value.<\/strong>\u00a0The originality lies in adapting models to wartime conditions, comparing their effectiveness, and applying Random Forest for forecasting. Research Limitations \/ Future Research.<\/strong>\u00a0Limitations include a small sample size (72 observations), missing data, subjective assumptions, and omission of external shocks. Future research should incorporate broader data, climate, and geopolitical factors.\u00a0Type of Article.<\/strong>\u00a0Empirical.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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ACCESS ARTICLE<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n
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CIMS 2025 The Awakening of Nature<\/a><\/div>\n\n
Market Synergy<\/a><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n
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Economic growth of countries in the context of military operations Olexandr Shapurov ORCID: https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-4381-4886 Zaporizhzhya National University Oleksii Hrechanyi ORCID: https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-0524-4998 Zaporizhzhya National University Volodymyr Stoiev ORCID: https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-4933-2992 Zaporizhzhya National University Anatolii Karpelianskyi ORCID: https:\/\/orcid.org\/0009-0001-4185-5131 Zaporizhzhya National University Alina Sosnovska ORCID: https:\/\/orcid.org\/0009-0008-6038-3564 Zaporizhzhya National University Purpose.\u00a0The purpose of the study is to assess the economic growth of Ukraine, Syria, and Palestine under wartime conditions, compare growth models (Solow, MRW, Romer, and a machine learning model), identify recovery factors, and develop … <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[40],"tags":[39],"class_list":["post-3446","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-synergy","tag-cims-2025-the-awakening-of-nature"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/fti.dp.ua\/conf\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3446","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/fti.dp.ua\/conf\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/fti.dp.ua\/conf\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fti.dp.ua\/conf\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fti.dp.ua\/conf\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3446"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/fti.dp.ua\/conf\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3446\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3447,"href":"https:\/\/fti.dp.ua\/conf\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3446\/revisions\/3447"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/fti.dp.ua\/conf\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3446"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fti.dp.ua\/conf\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3446"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fti.dp.ua\/conf\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3446"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}