Forecasting Sulfur Dioxide Levels in the Atmosphere from Stationary and Mobile Sources of Pollution
Tetiana Rusakova
Oles Honchar Dnipro National University
Purpose. Analysis of the dynamics of changes in the amount of sulfur dioxide entering the atmosphere from stationary and mobile sources of pollution. Design / Method / Approach. The research methodology is based on the use of descriptive statistical methods to establish mathematical dependencies for forecasting the entry of sulfur dioxide into the atmosphere from stationary and mobile sources of pollution. Findings. Volumes of sulfur dioxide from stationary sources are greater than volumes from mobile sources, constant monitoring of air quality in the city is necessary. Stimulating actions on the part of state, regional and local authorities are necessary to reduce the entry of sulfur dioxide into the atmosphere from transport and equipment running on fuel with a high sulfur content. Theoretical Implications. Mathematical dependencies have been obtained for forecasting the amount of sulfur dioxide entering the atmosphere from stationary and mobile sources of pollution. Practical Implications. The trend of changes in the volume of sulfur dioxide intake from stationary sources of pollution for the period of 2016-2023 in Ukraine is decreasing, but in 2023 there was an increase in volumes by 7.7% compared to 2022. The trend of changes in these volumes in the Dnipropetrovsk region is not unambiguous. In 2023, the volume of sulfur dioxide increased by 57.6% compared to 2022. Over the past two years, the amount of sulfur dioxide from mobile sources of pollution has decreased by 27% due to a 28% decrease in the total number of newly registered vehicles in Ukraine for the specified years. Originality / Value. The analysis of statistical data is simultaneously based on the elements of descriptive statistics, on the mathematical dependencies of the dynamics of changes in the volume of sulfur dioxide entering the atmospheric air from various sources of pollution, and on the graphical presentation of statistical data. Research Limitations / Future Research. Future research will be aimed at establishing mathematical relationships between the volumes of sulfur dioxide from mobile sources of pollution and the species composition of transport.